Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 2.082009 2.371626 2.686608 3.054588 3.472696 3.933021 4.478350
2025-09-21 1.602445 1.989919 2.448228 3.030221 3.749751 4.610485 5.719066
2025-09-28 1.324852 1.746154 2.274153 2.984324 3.914887 5.093480 6.701321
2025-10-05 1.228571 1.700286 2.320169 3.194155 4.395217 5.989171 8.268458
2025-10-12 1.094290 1.580210 2.245646 3.223123 4.623191 6.558245 9.440839
2025-10-19 1.013039 1.519583 2.239323 3.336052 4.966147 7.302340 10.912045
2025-10-26 0.908480 1.411088 2.149785 3.313865 5.103714 7.755465 11.992169
2025-11-02 0.822190 1.319028 2.072486 3.297398 5.240880 8.210186 13.103606
2025-11-09 0.738442 1.221151 1.975007 3.236892 5.298855 8.541273 14.042239
2025-11-16 0.688360 1.171308 1.946682 3.280769 5.521943 9.142985 15.456439
2025-11-23 0.643163 1.124491 1.917821 3.318908 5.735344 9.741245 16.909114
2025-11-30 0.593120 1.064238 1.860470 3.302213 5.852019 10.184107 18.129917
2025-12-07 0.536074 0.989858 1.778358 3.246028 5.914739 10.573509 19.355387
2025-12-14 0.489054 0.929262 1.715644 3.220232 6.032904 11.077645 20.850038
2025-12-21 0.444522 0.868114 1.645123 3.171468 6.101413 11.494217 22.216914
2025-12-28 0.440807 0.883606 1.716577 3.394390 6.697272 12.927876 25.627464
2026-01-04 0.413047 0.849190 1.689953 3.425165 6.925568 13.688177 27.807664
2026-01-11 0.398155 0.838730 1.708218 3.545137 7.338707 14.837423 30.859436
2026-01-18 0.369014 0.795994 1.658162 3.521566 7.458833 15.417069 32.807540
2026-01-25 0.343286 0.757738 1.613402 3.504072 7.588551 16.024801 34.866239
2026-02-01 0.315596 0.712424 1.549632 3.439792 7.612383 16.414067 36.493666
2026-02-08 0.300190 0.692533 1.537811 3.486406 7.878928 17.335321 39.356551
2026-02-15 0.285439 0.672613 1.523976 3.526924 8.135003 18.254501 42.296806